Prospect Of Photovoltaic Kev Lag Luam

Puas yog qhov kev xav ntawm photovoltaic no txuas ntxiv mus?

Cov kev txhawj xeeb zaum kawg yog dab tsi? Lub voj voog ntawm PV kev lag luam no, los ntawm kev siv thev naus laus zis ntawm cov khoom siv mus rau qhov chaw nthuav dav ntawm qhov xav tau; Los ntawm tus nqi hloov pauv mus rau lub peev xwm tsim tau sai, ntau qhov kub kub txuas ntxiv ua rau muaj kev mob siab rau.

Txawm li cas los xij, qhov kev thov davhlau ya nyob twg tsis tau hais meej, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau hauv cov chaw nres tsheb fais fab hauv nruab nrab. Nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los no, vim muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm cov khoom siv silicon thiab lwm yam nqi, cov khoom lag luam tsis poob tab sis nce, uas dhau los ua qhov tseem ceeb txwv qhov kev xav tau ntawm cov dej ntws.

Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, qhov kev cia siab ntawm module nqi poob thiab qhov kawg thov tso tawm tau tas li ignited, dhau los ua qoob loo tshiab ntawm kev cia siab kom muaj kev txaus siab nyob rau hauv PV kev lag luam.

Kev cia siab ib hnub tsis ua tiav, mob siab rau ib hnub so.

01

Component tus nqi txwv kev xav tau kev ua haujlwm

Txij li thaum xyoo tas los, kev lag luam photovoltaic tau vam meej nyob rau hauv nthwv dej ntawm "carbon neutrality", nrog kev nce peev thiab nthuav kev cia siab. Tus nqi ntawm kev tsim khoom kawg tau nce siab, uas tau txwv nruj rau qhov kev thov qis qis qis.

Xyoo 2021, vim muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm kev nce PV module nqi, thoob ntiaj teb thiab domestic PV installation poob luv luv ntawm kev cia siab. Kev txhim kho PV ntiaj teb no tau nce los ntawm 30 feem pua ​​​​ntawm ib xyoo, thaum cov khoom siv hauv tsev PV loj hlob los ntawm tsuas yog 14 feem pua, ntawm cov chaw nres tsheb hauv nruab nrab tau poob qis los ntawm 27 feem pua, thiab kev loj hlob tseem ceeb yog los ntawm tsev neeg PV nrog cov nqi muaj zog dua.

Nyob rau hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo no, tus nqi nyob rau hauv cov kev lag luam saw tau me ntsis ruaj khov, thiab photovoltaic installations khaws.

Txij thaum Lub Ib Hlis Ntuj mus rau Lub Rau Hli 2022, qhov kev tsim kho tshiab hauv tsev PV muaj peev xwm yog 30.88GW, nrog kev loj hlob ib xyoos ib zaug ntawm 137 feem pua, ntawm qhov nruab nrab PV muaj peev xwm yog 11.22GW, nrog rau kev loj hlob ib xyoos ib zaug ntawm 109 feem pua; Kev faib tawm PV 19.65GW, nce 157 feem pua ​​​​ntawm xyoo.

Tsis tas li ntawd, vim yog Russia-Ukraine tsov rog thiab lub zog ntsoog, kev thov txawv teb chaws rau kev teeb tsa photovoltaic muaj zog. Txij Lub Ib Hlis Ntuj txog Lub Rau Hli 2022, Tuam Tshoj tau xa tawm 78.6GW ntawm cov qauv, nce 74 feem pua ​​​​ntawm xyoo.

Txawm li cas los xij, qhov kev thov tau nce me ntsis, kev lag luam saw kev ua si tau hloov kho tam sim ntawd, cov nqi nce siab tau nce, cov nqi tiv thaiv tsis poob tab sis tau nce, kom deb li deb xyoo no txhua txoj hauv kev.

Tam sim no, cov lus hais ntawm qee cov khoom siv ntau tshaj 2.0 yuan / W, thiab cov peev nyiaj tau los ntawm lub chaw nres tsheb fais fab tau mus txog cov kab hauv qab. Terminal installation thov dua ushered nyob rau hauv tos-thiab-saib, tivthaiv export kev loj hlob kuj qeeb.

Tus nqi tivthaiv saum toj no 2.0 yuan /W kuj tsis tuaj yeem tiv thaiv qee qhov kev thov qis los ntawm kev them nyiaj. Tus nqi siab kam rau siab thiab siab yield tolerance kuj qhia txog qhov muaj peev xwm xav tau ntawm photovoltaic downstream.

Photovoltaic warming trend, ib zaug ntxiv kom muaj, kev lag luam ib zaug ntxiv mus rau hauv ib tug stalemate.

02

Daim duab kawg-thov tseem tsis meej

Photovoltaic xav tau hnub qub hiav txwv, yog kev cia siab ntawm kev lag luam photovoltaic.

Niaj hnub no, qhov kev thov luv luv tau raug tuav rov qab los ntawm cov nqi nce siab, thiab kev thov tso tawm tau qeeb. Tam sim no, nws tseem nyuaj rau txiav txim lub sijhawm rau kev nrawm ntawm kev thov tso tawm.

Ntawm ib sab, tus nqi ntawm cov khoom siv silicon tau ncua, thiab tsis ntev los no nws txawm mus txog qhov siab tshiab. Tus nqi pauv ntawm ib qho khoom siv lead ua ntom ntom tau tshaj 300, 000 yuan/ton. Txawm hais tias qhov kev tso tawm tas li ntawm cov khoom siv silicon tshiab, tab sis vim muaj kev sib kis, kev sib faib hluav taws xob, kev saib xyuas thiab lwm yam, ua ke nrog kev lag luam kev ua lag luam lim hiam, cov khoom siv silicon nyob rau xyoo tas los no, tus nqi ntawm kev lag luam photovoltaic yog "cunning", "noj qhuav squeezed" muaj peev xwm, yav tom ntej tus nqi yuav tsis du txoj kev.

Tsis tas li ntawd, qhov kev tshem tawm tsis ntev los no ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob nyiam nyob hauv qee qhov chaw, cov nqi siv hluav taws xob tau pib ua qhov hloov pauv tshiab ntawm cov nqi ntawm kev tsim hluav taws xob photovoltaic, uas yog cov lus taw qhia tshiab. Tej zaum yuav muaj lwm yam tsis paub txog tus nqi hloov pauv uas tshwm sim, ua rau txoj hauv kev rov qab rau cov nqi khoom tsis meej.

Tsis yog. Ntawm qhov tod tes, cov pej xeem tau raug kev ntxhov siab tias ib puag ncig tshiab ntawm kev lag luam photovoltaic boom, cov nqi tsim khoom lag luam "zoo nkauj" muaj ntau haiv neeg thiab nyuaj, xws li cov nqi khaws cia tsis poob rau lithium carbonate cov nqi nce, cov nqi ncaj qha thiab tsis ncaj ntawm cov tub ua lag luam, pab txhawb rau qhov chaw nres tsheb fais fab ntawm txoj kev loj hlob ntawm photovoltaic fais fab chaw nres tsheb sib txhuam cov nqi nce, kuj dhau los ua lub zog xav tau kev loj hlob yav tom ntej.

Raws li qhov tshwm sim, kev lag luam tseem tab tom ntsib qhov teeb meem nyuaj ntawm qhov tsis xav tau rau PV, thiab muaj qhov sib txawv dav hauv kev kwv yees ntawm kev teeb tsa hauv Suav teb thiab thoob ntiaj teb xyoo no thiab tom ntej, txawm hais tias tag nrho cov kev cia siab tias "kev xav tau yuav nrawm dua" .

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Nebulous xav tau txuas ntxiv peev kev txaus siab

Kev tsis paub tseeb yog qhov zoo rau peev.

Muaj qhov tsis paub meej, muaj qhov ua kom muaj zog, muaj lub sijhawm los hloov kho cov qauv kev lag luam thiab kev nkhaus hla, thiab koj tuaj yeem txaus siab rau tus nqi siab dua. Nws yog tag nrho cov nyiaj ntsuab nyob rau hauv thiab cov nqi rov qab mus rau qhov qub raws li qhov muag pom.

Nyob rau hauv ob peb xyoos dhau los, kev lag luam photovoltaic tau pom muaj ntau yam resilience, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog elasticity ntawm technology iteration thiab muaj peev xwm muab, thaum lub sij hawm xav tau sab tsis zoo siab txais tos qhov kev tso tawm ntawm kev thov sib piv rau cov khoom siv ntawm "ua hauj lwm loj ceev".

Nyob rau hauv cov txheej txheem no, txawm tias ib feem ntawm qhov kev thov yog txaus los ua kom tag nrho lub khw. Ua ntej, tsev neeg PV boom pib xyoo tas los, thiab thib ob, kev xa tawm ntawm PV / lub zog cia tau tawg rau xyoo no.

Piv txwv li, cov chaw tsim hluav taws xob photovoltaic nruab nrab, uas yog lub zog tseem ceeb ntawm photovoltaic, tau sov sov thaum lub sij hawm muaj kev txhawb nqa siab ntawm lub tswv yim ntawm "carbon neutrality" nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los.

Thiab cov ntaub ntawv zoo no kom ncua sijhawm nyiaj ntsuab, tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv mus ntxiv rau lub peev ntawm kev lag luam photovoltaic.

Txawm hais tias ib txwm xav tau, yeej tsis txaus siab, tab sis yuav los, yuav txaus siab, tab sis nws yog ib qho nyuaj rau kev kwv yees lub caij nyoog thiab lub sijhawm.

Lub resilience thiab lub sij hawm ntawm qhov kev thov sab yuav destined los puag lub tswv yim lub sij hawm ntawm lub Cheebtsam ntu, thiab tsis muaj leej twg yuav tso tseg lub peev raws li txoj kev. Nws tsis yog qhov nyuaj rau kev nkag siab tias qhov kev sib tw toj roob hauv pes ntawm cov ntu ntu tau dhau los ua neeg nyiam thiab nkag siab ntawm lub sijhawm no.

Nyob rau hauv luv luv, lub caij nplooj zeeg ntawm tus nqi tivthaiv, kev tso tawm ntawm davhlau ya nyob twg xav tau, ua cov qoob loo tshiab ntawm kev cia siab ntawm kev lag luam photovoltaic, khau tsis poob ib hnub, mob siab rau tsis dissipate ib hnub. Cov khoom siv siab tus nqi yuav tsis yog qhov phem.